March 30 , 2020 - The contest for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination has just about ground to halt as the Covid 19 outbreak has affected all aspects of American life. Because social distancing guidelines have closed movie theaters , restaurants , stadiums , city parks and even beaches the idea of a campaign rally has also been suspended.
As far as the Democratic presidential race is concerned former Vice President Joe Biden stands at 1,217 of the 1,991 delegates needed to clinch the nomination. Biden's last remaining competitor Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont stands at 914 delegates. A current average of national polling on the race shows Biden leading with 51% followed by Sanders with 32.5%.
Because many of the remaining states that have yet to hold their primaries have rescheduled them due to Covid 19 , June 2 , 2020 is looking as the date that the the race for the nomination will finally be settled.
On June 2 , the states of Pennsylvania , Indiana , New Mexico , Maryland , South Dakota , Delaware , New Jersey , Connecticut , Rhode Island , Montana and the District of Columbia will finally have their say. June 2 is looking to be Super Tuesday Part II.
February 14, 2020 - The Iowa Caucuses and New Hampshire Primary are in the rear view mirror as the race for the Democratic presidential nomination moves onto to Nevada and South Carolina. The latest national polling shows that Senator Bernie Sanders has gotten a bounce out of New Hampshire and now leads nationwide with 29%. Up next up is former Vice President Joe Biden who comes in a distance second at 19%. This is a quite a change in fortunes for Biden who led the race through out 2019.
Coming in a third place is a surging former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg with 18%. While Biden's fall in the polls is remarkable , equally stunning is Bloomberg rapid rise who now find himself in the top tier of candidates. While Bloomberg has bypassed the first four states , he is waging an intense nationwide campaign for the states that vote on Super Tuesday , March 3 and beyond.
Fresh off his close second place finish in New Hampshire , former South Bend , Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg is fourth with 11% , followed by Senator Elizabeth Warren at 10% and and Senator Amy Klobuchar at 5%.
Next up on the calendar is the Nevada Caucuses that take place on February 22 , 2020.
December 3, 2019 - Senator Kamala Harris of California ended her run for the White House today. Despite a candidacy that began with much optimism , Harris has struggled for months to raise the financial resources needed for a run for the presidency.
This week a new poll illustrated that Harris's campaign was headed in the wrong direction , when new entrant to the Democratic race for the presidential nomination former Mayor New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg scored 6% to just 2% for Harris.
In an email to supports Harris wrote " So here's the truth today. I've taken stock and looked at this from every angle , and over the last few days have come to one of the hardest decisions of my life. My campaign for president simply doesn't have the financial resources to continue."
While Harris White House bid has come to an end , it likely that whoever becomes the nominee for the Democrats will have Harris on their short list for the vice presidency.
November 14, 2019 - South Bend Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg finds himself in the top tier of candidates in the latest polling for the upcoming 2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus. Buttigieg comes in first with 22% followed by former Vice President Joe Biden with 19%. In third place is Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts with 18% followed by Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with 13%.
The remaining candidates all find themselves polling in single digits. In fifth place is Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota with 5% followed by these candidates scoring 3% each , Senator Kamala Harris , Business Tom Steyer and Entrepreneur Andrew Yang.
October 14, 2019 - On the eve of the fourth Democratic presidential debate Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts leads the field in polling in the initial 18 states that will vote in 2020. Warren has the support of 31% followed by former Vice President Joe Biden with 25%.
In 3rd place is Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with 17%. In fourth place is Senator Kamala Harris with 7% followed by South Bend Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 5% and former Texas Congressman Beto O'Rourke with 4%.
If these polls numbers were to remain the same into next years primaries and caucuses they would result in Warren scoring 720 delegates followed by Biden with 577 delegates and Sanders with 159 delegates. Rounding out the field would be O'Rourke with 30 delegates , Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota with 5 delegates and Buttigieg with 3 delegates.
These battleground poll numbers and possible delegates counts are based on the states of Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada , South Carolina , Alabama , Arkansas , California , Colorado , Maine , Massachusetts , Minnesota , North Carolina , Oklahoma , Tennessee , Texas , Vermont , Utah and Virginia.