December 3, 2015 - Political pundits have been saying since July that the rise of New York Businessman Donald Trump in the polls would soon come to an end. As the new year approaches not only is Trump still the front runner for the 2016 Republican Party presidential nomination he now has a 20 point lead over his closest rival.
Trump has the support of 36% of those polled followed by Senator Ted Cruz of Texas with 16%. Receiving over 30% of those polled is another bench mark for Trump, as political analysts have long said he may have hit his ceiling of support and could not get past the high twenties. With the latest poll , Trump has raced past the 30% percent mark.
In third place is Dr. Ben Carson with 14% followed by Senator Marco Rubio of Florida with 12%. Trump, Cruz, Carson and Rubio are the only GOP White House hopefuls in double digits. In fifth place is New Jersey Governor Chris Christie with 4%.
Tied as 3% each is former CEO Carly Fiorina and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. The 3% is a troubling number for the one time front runner Bush who has spent millions of advertising without so far making any impact in the minds of voters.
As 2% each are Ohio Governor John Kasich and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. Coming in at 1% of support is Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky.
In this latest poll Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, former New York Governor George Pataki and former Senator Rick Santorum registered zero support.
November 30, 2015 - With just a little over two months to the Iowa Caucuses on February 1, 2016, Republican and Democratic candidates are heading into the time when the voters will finally get to weigh in on the race.
For the Republicans an average of polls for Iowa finds New York Businessman Donald Trump in the lead with 26.7% followed by Dr. Ben Carson with 20%. In third place is Senator Ted Cruz of Texas with 18.3% followed by Senator Marco Rubio of Florida wit 12.3%. For now Trump , Carson , Cruz and Rubio are in a four man race in Iowa as they are the only Republican challengers in double digits.
Despite his high name recognition former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, who at one time was the front runner for the nomination, is at 4.7% in Iowa followed by former CEO Caryl Fiorina at 3.7%. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky is at 3% followed by by New Jersey Governor Chris Christie at 2.3%.
The winner of the 2008 Iowa Caucus former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is at 1.7% followed by the 2012 GOP winner of the Iowa Caucus former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania with 1.3%. Also at 1.3% is Ohio Governor John Kasich followed by Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina with 0.7%.
On the Democratic side former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has the support of 52% of those polled followed by Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with 41%. In third place is former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley with 4%.
In New Hampshire, the first primary in the nation scheduled for February 9, 2016, Trump is solidly in command with 26% followed by a distant second of Rubio at 12.5%. In third place is Dr. Ben Carson with 10.5% followed by Cruz with 9.5.
In fifth place with 7.8% is Kasich followed by Bush with 7.5%. Next up is Christie with 5.3% followed by Paul with 4.3%. Also at 4.3% is Fiorina. At 1% each is Huckabee and Graham.
As Iowa and New Hampshire loom closer , the candidates can be expected to intensify their advertising and campaigning. For many of these lower polling candidates the time is drawing near where they need to either move up in the polls or begin to contemplate placing their presidential campaign buttons in a museum.
On the Democratic side in New Hampshire it is a far closer race at the moment as Clinton has the support of 45% followed by Sanders with 40.7% and O'Malley with 3.7%.
The next big event for the Republicans will be on December 15, 2015 when they will debate in Las Vegas. The Democrats will follow that up with a debate in New Hampshire on December 19, 2015.
November 18, 2015 - Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal for president 2016 campaign buttons became part of history yesterday when he ended his White House bid for the Republican Party 2016 presidential nomination.
Jindal, a two term governor, had struggled since entering the race to gain support and had been stuck in low single digits in national polls. In the four Republican presidential debates that have been held since August , Jindal had appeared each time only in the under card debate , never making the main stage.
Jindal joins two other Republican hopefuls who have already left the race, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and former Texas Governor Rick Perry.
November 3, 2015 - With just about one year to the 2016 presidential election the Republicans appear to have a new front runner as Dr. Ben Carson now leads New York Businessman Donald Trump.
Carson has the support of 29% followed by 22% for Trump. In third place is Senator Marco Rubio of Florida with 11%, followed by Senator Ted Cruz of Texas with 10%.
In fifth place is former Florida Governor Jeb Bush with 8%. In four way tie for 6th place at 3% each are New Jersey Governor Chris Christie , Ohio Governor John Kasich, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and former CEO Carly Fiorina.
In 10th place is Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky with 2%.
October 28, 2012 - Tonight's Republican presidential debate will feature a new front runner in Dr. Ben Carson as he and his rivals take the stage in Boulder , Colorado. For the first time this primary season Carson has topped a national poll, ending New York businessman Donald Trump's 100 consecutive days a top the polls.
In this new poll Carson has the support of 26% followed by Trump with 22%. Carson's surge to the lead follows three polls for the state of Iowa that show him leading Trump there.
In third place is Senator Marco Rubio of Florida with 8% followed by former Florida Governor Jeb Bush with 7%. Former CEO Carly Fiorina also bests Bush with 7%.
All bunched up at 4% each are Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky and Ohio Governor John Kasich. Though not on the main debate stage tonight Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina comes in at 2% followed by New Jersey Governor Chris Christie at 1%. Former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania also scored at 1%.
Tonight's two hour debate will focus on the economy. There will also be under card debate for the those candidates who did not achieve an average of 3% in a sampling of national polls. The participants for that debate will be Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, former New York Governor George Pataki,Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania.